Lithuania vs Andorra Prediction: Can Jankauskas’s Side Build on Their Winning Start? 🏆

Lithuania vs Andorra Prediction: Match Preview

Lithuania welcome Andorra to the Darius and Girėnas Stadium in Kaunas on Wednesday evening, seeking to maintain the momentum from their Nations League opening victory over Liechtenstein. Edgaras Jankauskas’s side produced a dominant second-half display to secure a 2-0 win, with Lukas Michelbrink and Artūras Dolžnikov scoring the goals. Andorra, by contrast, arrive in Lithuania in the midst of a challenging period, having suffered a 3-0 defeat to Kosovo in their most recent outing and a 2-1 loss to Malta before that. With Lithuania ranked 147th in the world and Andorra 172nd, the hosts will be confident of extending their perfect record against their visitors.

Match Information 📋

Match: Lithuania vs Andorra
Competition: International Friendly
Date: Wednesday, 30 September 2026
Kick-off: 17:00 BST
Venue: Darius and Girėnas Stadium, Kaunas
Our Prediction: Lithuania 2-0 Andorra

Our Prediction 🎯

Lithuania 2-0 Andorra

Main Betting Angle: Lithuania to win & under 3.5 goals

Key Reasoning: Lithuania’s perfect head-to-head record, Andorra’s attacking struggles, and the hosts’ confidence from their Nations League win make a comfortable home victory the most probable outcome.

Head-to-Head Record 📋

The historical record between these two nations makes for encouraging reading for the hosts. In two recorded meetings, Lithuania have won both, scoring seven goals and conceding just one. The most recent encounter came in February 2009, when Lithuania secured a 3-1 victory. Their first meeting in June 1998 produced an even more emphatic result, a 4-0 triumph for the hosts. Andorra have never beaten Lithuania, and have never even managed a draw.

Lithuania Form 🔵

Last 5 matches: W-L-D-L-L

Lithuania’s 2-0 victory over Liechtenstein was a landmark result, ending a run of five matches without a win and securing their first competitive victory since March 2024. Jankauskas praised his side’s patience and quality, stating: “The match unfolded according to the scenario we expected. We knew we would have more of the ball, dominate with it, and the only question was how we would manage to break through their compact defence”.

The hosts’ attacking threat was evident in the second half, with Lukas Michelbrink scoring a superb solo goal and Artūras Dolžnikov adding a spectacular long-range strike. Michelbrink, 21, has been identified as a player of genuine quality by Jankauskas, who noted: “He knows how to find gaps and today he demonstrated that even against the goalkeeper he can extricate himself from seemingly tricky situations”.

Lithuania’s defensive record remains a concern, however. They have conceded eight goals in their last five matches and have kept just one clean sheet in that period. Jankauskas has warned his players against complacency, stating: “If we don’t give physical contact, there could be problems”.

Andorra Form ⚪

Last 5 matches: L-L-D-L-W

Andorra’s 3-0 defeat to Kosovo was a chastening experience, extending a difficult run of form that has seen them win just one of their last five matches. That solitary victory came in June 2026, a 2-0 win over Liechtenstein in Marc Pujol’s farewell match.

The visitors’ attacking struggles are well documented. Andorra have scored just two goals in their last five matches and have failed to score in three of those fixtures. Their expected goals data reflects these difficulties, with an xG of just 0.35 in their most recent matches.

Manager Koldo Álvarez has acknowledged the challenge of facing higher-ranked opposition, stating after the Kosovo defeat: “The two rivals we have in the Nations League have a higher level than Liechtenstein. We will take advantage of what we have done today, but I think we need to raise the level a bit more when finding that final pass to create a clearer goalscoring action”.

Team News & Expected Lineups 📰

Lithuania Predicted Lineup (4-2-3-1)

Gertmonas; Sirvys, Gineitis, Utkus, Lasickas; Michelbrink, Dolžnikov; Kučys, Jankauskas, Paulauskas; Lickūnas

Jankauskas is expected to retain the core of the side that defeated Liechtenstein, with Lukas Michelbrink and Artūras Dolžnikov providing the creative spark. Adrianas Lickūnas, who made his debut against Liechtenstein, could be handed a first start. The hosts have no reported injury concerns for this fixture.

Andorra Predicted Lineup (4-2-3-1)

Gomes; San Nicolas, Vales, Cervos, Alaez; Pujol, Rebés; Martinez, Clemente, Moreno; Alaez

Álvarez is expected to make changes after the Kosovo defeat, with Jordi Aláez and Àlex Martínez providing the primary attacking threat. Moisés San Nicolás anchors the defence, while Marc Pujol brings experience in midfield. Andorra have no reported injury concerns.

Key Stats 📊

• Lithuania H2H record: 2 wins from 2, 7 goals scored, 1 conceded

• Andorra recent form: 1 win in last 5 matches, 2 goals scored

• Lithuania scoring: 2 goals in their Nations League opener

• Andorra xG: 0.35 in recent matches

• FIFA Ranking gap: Lithuania 147th, Andorra 172nd (25 places)

Tactical Analysis 📈

The match will be defined by Lithuania’s attacking quality against Andorra’s defensive resilience.

Lithuania’s 4-2-3-1 formation relies on Michelbrink’s creativity and Dolžnikov’s long-range threat. The hosts demonstrated against Liechtenstein that they possess the patience to break down compact defences, and they will look to dominate possession once again. Pijus Širvys provides an aerial threat from set-pieces, having come close with a header in the opening match.

Andorra will look to frustrate the hosts and strike on the counter, but their attacking output has been severely limited. Àlex Martínez and Jordi Aláez possess the quality to cause problems, but service has been scarce. The visitors’ defensive organisation will be tested against a Lithuanian side full of confidence.

The key battle will be Lithuania’s attacking transitions against Andorra’s defensive block. If the hosts can score early, Andorra’s fragile confidence could crumble.

Betting Analysis 💰

Result: Lithuania Win

Goals: Under 3.5

Both Teams to Score: No

Lithuania are clear favourites given their perfect head-to-head record and the confidence gained from their Nations League victory. Under 3.5 goals is a strong selection, with Andorra’s attacking struggles making a high-scoring affair unlikely. Both Teams to Score: No also holds appeal, with Andorra having failed to score in three of their last five matches.

Final Prediction 🏁

Lithuania 2-0 Andorra

Lithuania’s perfect head-to-head record, confidence from their Nations League win, and Andorra’s attacking struggles make the hosts clear favourites in Kaunas. Jankauskas’s side demonstrated against Liechtenstein that they possess the quality and patience to break down compact defences, and they will be eager to build on that performance.

Andorra’s lack of cutting edge and defensive vulnerabilities were exposed by Kosovo, and they face a Lithuanian side buoyed by their first competitive victory in over a year. The visitors have scored just two goals in their last five matches and will struggle to breach a resolute Lithuanian defence.

Expect Lithuania to control possession and create chances, with Michelbrink and Dolžnikov providing the attacking spark.

Prediction: Lithuania 2-0 Andorra. Goals from Lukas Michelbrink and Artūras Dolžnikov should secure a comfortable victory for the hosts, extending their perfect record against Andorra and building momentum ahead of their Nations League clash with Azerbaijan.