AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda Prediction – Eredivisie Round 30 (April 24, 2025)

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AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda – Eredivisie Round 30 Clash at AFAS Stadion (April 24, 2025)

The Eredivisie rolls into its 30th round this week as AZ Alkmaar play host to newly promoted NAC Breda at the AFAS Stadion on Thursday, April 24, 2025, with kickoff set for 17:45 CET-2. With AZ chasing a top-four finish and NAC battling for survival, this match carries weight at both ends of the table.

🔴 AZ Alkmaar: Focused on Europe, Hungry for Points

AZ Alkmaar have shown impressive consistency in 2025, bouncing back strongly after a slightly shaky end to 2024. The side led by Pascal Jansen has found its rhythm again, playing fluid attacking football, particularly at home. With 4 wins in their last 5 Eredivisie matches, AZ sit firmly in the European places and are pushing to overtake Twente for 3rd.

Key figures like Vangelis Pavlidis, who continues to torment defences with his finishing and positioning, and Sven Mijnans, thriving in a creative midfield role, have led the charge in 2025. Defensively, AZ have looked more composed this year, registering 3 clean sheets in their last 5 games.

🔢 AZ Alkmaar’s Eredivisie Form in 2025:

  • Matches: 8

  • Wins: 6

  • Draws: 1

  • Losses: 1

  • Goals Scored: 17

  • Goals Conceded: 5

🟡 NAC Breda: Gritty but Slipping in the Race for Survival

After earning promotion back to the Eredivisie last season, NAC Breda have had a bumpy ride in 2025. They’ve picked up crucial points in tight matches but have also suffered heavy defeats, especially on the road. Sitting just above the relegation zone, NAC are fighting tooth and nail to avoid the drop.

Under manager Jean-Paul van Gastel, NAC have adopted a pragmatic approach, prioritizing structure over flair. However, their recent form is troubling — only 1 win in their last 6 matches, with 11 goals conceded in that stretch. Defensive frailty and lack of finishing power up front have made their task harder.

🔢 NAC Breda’s Eredivisie Form in 2025:

  • Matches: 8

  • Wins: 2

  • Draws: 2

  • Losses: 4

  • Goals Scored: 6

  • Goals Conceded: 14

🧠 Predicted Lineups

AZ Alkmaar (4-2-3-1):
Ryan – Sugawara, Beukema, Goes, Kerkez – Clasie, Mijnans – Karlsson, de Wit, Lahdo – Pavlidis
Manager: Pascal Jansen

NAC Breda (4-3-3):
Nick Olij – Velanas, Malone, Mashart, Van Hooijdonk – Garbett, Agougil, Antonia – Herrmann, Seuntjens, van Schuppen
Manager: Jean-Paul van Gastel

🔍 Tactical Outlook

AZ will dominate possession and look to overload the flanks with Karlsson and Lahdo, while Mijnans will operate between the lines, feeding Pavlidis. Expect high pressing from AZ to win the ball quickly and control the tempo.

NAC will sit deep and try to exploit counterattacks, likely targeting the wings for quick transitions. Their biggest issue will be coping with AZ’s movement and finding moments to break the press effectively.

🔮 Match Prediction: AZ Alkmaar 3-0 NAC Breda

AZ’s superior quality, form, and home advantage make them clear favorites here. NAC’s recent defensive struggles will be ruthlessly tested by a side brimming with attacking options and confidence. Unless NAC produce a perfect defensive display, this one could get away from them early.

✅ Best Bets

  • ✅ AZ to Win -1.5 Handicap – Expect AZ to win by at least two goals

  • ✅ AZ to Score in Both Halves – They’ve done this in 3 of their last 5 games

  • ✅ Vangelis Pavlidis to Score Anytime – AZ’s top scorer is in red-hot form

📊 Key Stats

  • AZ have won 5 of their last 6 Eredivisie home games

  • NAC have conceded 2+ goals in each of their last 4 away fixtures

  • AZ won the reverse fixture in January 2025 with a 2-0 scoreline

🏟️ Match Details

  • Fixture: AZ Alkmaar vs NAC Breda

  • Competition: Eredivisie – Round 30

  • Date: Thursday, April 24, 2025

  • Kickoff: 17:45 CET-2

  • Venue: AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar