Genoa vs Lazio Prediction – Serie A Round 33 (April 23, 2025)

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Genoa vs Lazio – Serie A Round 33 Clash at Luigi Ferraris (April 23, 2025)

As we approach the final stretch of the 2024/25 Serie A season, Genoa welcome Lazio to the iconic Stadio Luigi Ferraris on Wednesday, April 23, 2025, in a high-stakes Round 33 fixture. With European aspirations alive for the Biancocelesti and survival still a talking point for the Grifone, this evening battle promises tension, grit, and drama.

🔵 Genoa: Strong at Home, but Still Chasing Safety

After their return to Serie A, Genoa have shown themselves to be no pushovers. Coach Alberto Gilardino has crafted a resilient, hard-working team that punches above its weight — especially on home soil. In 2025, Genoa have lost only 2 of their last 7 matches, showing improvement in both discipline and attacking efficiency.

The team’s strength lies in organization and collective pressing. Mateo Retegui continues to be their go-to man up front, while Gudmundsson has been one of the league’s most underrated playmakers this year. Genoa’s defensive stability, anchored by Dragusin and Vasquez, has earned them praise across the league.

🔢 Genoa’s 2025 Serie A Form:

  • Matches: 9

  • Wins: 3

  • Draws: 4

  • Losses: 2

  • Goals Scored: 11

  • Goals Conceded: 9

⚪ Lazio: Still in the European Hunt

Lazio have had a turbulent 2025, especially after the managerial change that saw Igor Tudor replace Maurizio Sarri. However, the shift has paid dividends in recent weeks. The Biancocelesti have managed to stabilize their performances and are back in the hunt for European qualification, sitting just outside the top six.

2025 has seen Lazio win 5 of their last 8 league matches, including crucial results against Torino, Udinese, and most impressively, Napoli. Ciro Immobile may not be as prolific as before, but Luis Alberto and Zaccagni are stepping up creatively, while Guendouzi has added steel to the midfield.

Defensively, Lazio have looked more composed under Tudor, conceding just 7 goals in their last 8 matches.

🔢 Lazio’s 2025 Serie A Form:

  • Matches: 8

  • Wins: 5

  • Draws: 1

  • Losses: 2

  • Goals Scored: 12

  • Goals Conceded: 7

🧠 Predicted Lineups

Genoa (3-5-2):
Martínez – Dragusin, De Winter, Vasquez – Sabelli, Frendrup, Badelj, Strootman, Martin – Gudmundsson, Retegui
Manager: Alberto Gilardino

Lazio (4-3-3):
Provedel – Lazzari, Romagnoli, Casale, Marusic – Guendouzi, Vecino, Luis Alberto – Felipe Anderson, Immobile, Zaccagni
Manager: Igor Tudor

🔍 Tactical Insights

Expect Genoa to apply intense pressing and aggressive wing-back play, trying to exploit Lazio’s occasional vulnerability in wide areas. Gudmundsson’s dribbling and Retegui’s physicality will be key to their offensive transitions.

Lazio, on the other hand, will look to dominate possession and control the midfield tempo. The creativity of Luis Alberto and wide runs of Zaccagni and Felipe Anderson could unlock Genoa’s back three if they tire or get drawn too narrow.

A key battle will be in midfield — if Genoa can disrupt Lazio’s rhythm and win second balls, the hosts might dictate the tempo at home.

🔮 Match Prediction: Genoa 1-1 Lazio

Genoa’s solid home form and Lazio’s improved stability make this a tight, tactical contest. While Lazio have the individual quality to snatch a win, Genoa’s cohesion and energy at Luigi Ferraris shouldn’t be underestimated.

A draw seems the most likely result, with both teams having periods of control but struggling to convert dominance into a clear edge.

✅ Best Bets

  • ✅ Both Teams to Score – Yes – Both sides are creating chances consistently in 2025

  • ✅ Under 2.5 Total Goals – Expect a tense, calculated match

  • ✅ Draw or Lazio Double Chance – Lazio’s quality gives them a slight edge, but Genoa are tough at home

📊 Key Stats

  • Genoa are unbeaten in their last 4 home matches in 2025

  • Lazio have won 3 of their last 4 away games, including at Napoli and Sassuolo

  • The last 3 meetings between these sides have all been decided by 1 goal or ended in a draw

🏟️ Match Details

  • Fixture: Genoa vs Lazio

  • Competition: Serie A – Round 33

  • Date: Wednesday, April 23, 2025

  • Kickoff: 17:30 CET-2

  • Venue: Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genoa