Cagliari vs Fiorentina Prediction – Serie A Round 33 (April 21, 2025)

Cagliari vs Fiorentina – Serie A Round 33 Clash at Unipol Domus (April 21, 2025)

Serie A action continues on Monday, April 21, 2025, as Cagliari Calcio host ACF Fiorentina at the Unipol Domus in Round 33 of the 2024/25 season. With both clubs having very different objectives at this stage, the encounter in Sardinia promises high stakes and tactical tension.

🔴 Cagliari: Battling for Survival

Cagliari’s return to the top flight has been anything but easy. The Rossoblù enter this round deep in the relegation scrap, having failed to find consistent form since the turn of the year. In 2025, the islanders have struggled to convert performances into points, earning just 2 wins in 10 league matches.

Despite a resilient draw against Torino and a narrow loss to Lazio, Claudio Ranieri’s men remain fragile defensively and blunt in attack. With just 8 goals scored in their last 10 matches, Cagliari’s frontline has lacked cutting edge, placing immense pressure on their midfield to create magic.

🟠 Cagliari’s Form in 2025 (Serie A):

  • Matches: 10

  • Wins: 2

  • Draws: 2

  • Losses: 6

  • Goals Scored: 8

  • Goals Conceded: 16

At home, they’ve shown slightly better resilience, having claimed 5 of their 8 points in 2025 at the Unipol Domus. Zito Luvumbo and Gianluca Lapadula remain key attacking threats.

🟣 Fiorentina: Eyes on Europe

For Fiorentina, 2025 has brought renewed confidence and consistent results. Sitting in the hunt for a top-six finish, La Viola have made notable strides this calendar year. They are unbeaten in their last five Serie A matches and continue to impress under Vincenzo Italiano’s dynamic style.

Their attacking trio led by Nicolas González, Lucas Beltrán, and Christian Kouamé has delivered with pace and versatility, while Arthur Melo has taken control of midfield transitions. Fiorentina’s away form has improved notably as well — they’ve taken 10 points from their last 5 road games.

🟢 Fiorentina’s Form in 2025 (Serie A):

  • Matches: 10

  • Wins: 6

  • Draws: 2

  • Losses: 2

  • Goals Scored: 17

  • Goals Conceded: 10

Confidence is also boosted by their ongoing run in the UEFA Conference League, where they’ve just advanced to the semifinals after dispatching Celje across two legs.

🧠 Predicted Lineups

Cagliari (4-4-2):
Scuffet – Zappa, Dossena, Hatzidiakos, Augello – Nández, Makoumbou, Prati, Deiola – Lapadula, Luvumbo
Manager: Claudio Ranieri

Fiorentina (4-2-3-1):
Terracciano – Kayode, Milenković, Ranieri, Parisi – Arthur, Mandragora – González, Bonaventura, Kouamé – Beltrán
Manager: Vincenzo Italiano

🔍 Tactical Analysis

Cagliari are expected to keep it compact in midfield, relying on quick transitions and physical duels. Their wingers will be crucial in disrupting Fiorentina’s full-backs, but defensive discipline is paramount to avoid being picked apart by La Viola’s intricate ball movement.

Fiorentina will likely dominate possession and aim to overload the flanks. Their wide attackers will look to stretch Cagliari’s backline, while Arthur will dictate tempo from the base of midfield. Set pieces could also play a vital role — Fiorentina have scored 4 goals from corners in 2025.

🔮 Match Prediction: Cagliari 0-2 Fiorentina

Given current form and squad depth, Fiorentina enter as clear favorites. Their ability to control matches, even away from home, contrasts sharply with Cagliari’s struggles. Expect a composed performance from La Viola, who should secure all three points with a clean sheet.

✅ Best Bets

  • ✅ Fiorentina to Win – Superior form and European momentum

  • ✅ Under 3.5 Goals – Cagliari rarely involved in high-scoring games

  • ✅ Both Teams to Score – No – Cagliari’s attack has been inconsistent

📊 Key Stats to Know

  • Cagliari have not scored more than one goal in a match since January.

  • Fiorentina are unbeaten in their last 5 away matches in all competitions.

  • Fiorentina have scored in 9 of their last 10 Serie A games.

  • Cagliari have conceded at least one goal in each of their last 7 league games.

🏟️ Match Details

  • Fixture: Cagliari vs Fiorentina

  • Competition: Serie A – Round 33

  • Date: Monday, April 21, 2025

  • Kickoff: 14:00 CET-2

  • Venue: Unipol Domus, Cagliari